Tuesday, March 25, 2025

by Ian Harvey

"Soaring Gains: 192% Profit on Boeing Put – Now Flipping to a Call as Recovery Takes Flight!"

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Step 1: Capitalizing on Boeing’s Struggles – The 192% PUT Win

Back on March 5, 2025, a strategic PUT trade on Boeing (NYSE: BA) was initiated, targeting short-term downside as the aerospace giant faced turbulent market conditions.

Trade Details:

• Option Type: PUT
• Strike Price: $160
• Expiration: April 4, 2025
• Entry Premium: $5.05

This bearish position was driven by a combination of macroeconomic volatility, Boeing's disappointing earnings report, and regulatory and operational headwinds. The company was under intense scrutiny due to manufacturing and certification delays across its aerospace divisions, particularly surrounding the Vulcan Centaur rocket via the United Launch Alliance (ULA) joint venture with Lockheed Martin.

By March 10, the trade yielded a 192% profit, as Boeing's stock slid amid news that ULA would cut its 2025 launch targets by 40%, slashing revenue projections by hundreds of millions.

This was a textbook example of trading the news and aligning with technical weakness. However, the market narrative began to shift…

Step 2: Boeing Rebounds – Time for a Bullish Call Trade

As of March 25, 2025, the outlook for Boeing has changed dramatically, providing an ideal setup for a CALL trade as positive catalysts emerge. Here’s what’s fueling the turnaround:

Key Bullish Catalysts:

1. Massive Defense Contract Win
   Boeing clinched a $20 billion contract to develop the Next Generation Air Dominance (NGAD) fighter jet, replacing Lockheed’s F-22. Long-term, this could generate over $250 billion in revenue across decades, solidifying Boeing’s defense dominance.
2. Leadership and Operational Restructuring
   Under new CEO Kelly Ortberg, Boeing has refocused on core efficiency. Production of the 737 MAX and Dreamliner has picked up, with 25 MAX deliveries in February—a clear sign of operational recovery.
3. Valuation and Sentiment Rebound
   Boeing stock has rallied +10.05% in the past week, reflecting renewed investor optimism. With the stock trading at a forward P/E of just 36.9 and still 40% below all-time highs, the valuation looks attractive, especially given the company’s $435 billion backlog.
4. Positive Analyst Momentum
   Major institutions have raised their targets:

• Barclays: $210
• Citi Research: $210
• RBC Capital: $200
• J.P. Morgan: $190

Current price: ~$178

Recommended CALL Trade Setup:

Option Type: CALL
Suggested Strike: $185
Expiration: APR 25, 2025 (to allow time for bullish momentum to play out)
Entry Price Target: $5–$7 depending on market conditions

Risk Management Tips:

• Take partial profits at +50% and trail the rest.
• Consider stop-loss around -40% if market conditions reverse.

Conclusion: Turning the Page

After a strategic win with the PUT trade and nearly tripling gains, Boeing now sets the stage for a rebound fueled by defense contracts, production recovery, and improving sentiment.

The stock may not be free of risk, but this two-step strategy shows how you can profit in both directions when you follow the catalysts. For active traders, this is a prime example of adapting with the narrative and capitalizing on volatility.

From turbulence to takeoff — Boeing might just be ready to fly again.

Therefore…..

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