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Sunday, May 22, 2021
by Ian Harvey
Thursday saw Salesforce Weekly Options climb on further analyst action. However, there are still several catalysts pushing these prices upwards. The major catalyst is Salesforce’s earnings reports next Thursday, May 27, 2021, after the market closes.
Meantime, there are 2 recommendations running for “Weekly Options Members,” which are already showing potential profits of 189% and 39%, respectively.
Is it time to exit these trades?
Prelude…..
Due to the market fluctuation during the past week, members have been able to run concurrently two Salesforce weekly options trades, both of which have been very profitable so far.
To help provide further profit the Nasdaq jumped on Thursday to right near its 50-day moving average, as bullish tech investors keep buying the dips pulling most stocks upwards.
Salesforce helped create the software-as-a-service industry that has been booming for years. CRM’s cloud-based customer relationship management services offer clients a range of tools and applications to help run everything from sales and e-commerce to marketing and analytics. And the pandemic highlighted the importance of the space.
The company posted record sales last year, with revenue up 24% to $21.3 billion, to crack $20 billion for the first time ever. CRM also raised its guidance to help showcase that SaaS is ready to keep growing as businesses of all shapes and sizes adapt to the digital age and rely on various software to help them do just about everything.
Salesforce’s next quarterly performance is likely to have benefited from the robust demand environment as customers have been undergoing a major digital transformation.
Growth across its four major cloud service offerings, Sales Cloud, Service Cloud, Platform and other plus Marketing & Commerce Cloud has boost Salesforce’s subscription and supported its revenue stream.
Why Thursday’s Jump for the Salesforce Weekly Options Call Trades…..
The Goldman Sachs Group set a $315.00 price objective on salesforce.com in a report published on Thursday morning. The firm currently has a buy rating on the CRM provider’s stock.
Prior to this upgrade, Salesforce stock pushed higher Wednesday after the sales-tracking software giant received an upgrade from Morgan Stanley analyst Keith Weiss, who sees the company’s longer-term risk-reward potential as more favorable.
Weiss raised his rating on the company to overweight from equal-weight. He kept his one-year price target at $270.
With a broad portfolio targeting customer interactions across sales, customer support and marketing, Salesforce is “well positioned to benefit from an accelerating pace of investment in strategic digital transformation initiatives,” Weiss wrote in a research note, adding that the stock’s recent pullback “creates a good entry point.”
Salesforce’s $27.6 billion acquisition of work-focused instant-messaging and file-sharing software Slack, which took place in December, has left Salesforce shares roughly 25% below where they should be relative to its large-cap software peers.
Weiss raised his estimates for what Slack will bring to Salesforce’s bottom line following what he sees as “significantly” better performance over past two quarters, proving the strategic rationale behind Salesforce’s acquisition of the Slack in the first place.
“Furthermore, we believe the acquisition of MuleSoft effectively expanded the company's total addressable market by unlocking data previously trapped on legacy systems, to be used on the Salesforce platform,” he stated.
The Actual Recommended NVIDIA Weekly Options Call Trades…..
** Salesforce Weekly Options Call 1: Buy CRM MAY 28 2021 220.000 CALLS at approximately $5.70.
(actually bought for $3.60)
** Salesforce Weekly Options Call 2: Buy CRM MAY 28 2021 225.000 CALLS at approximately $5.00.
(actually bought for $5.30)
Salesforce Weekly Options Call Successes Explained.....
1. Weekly Options Members” entered a Salesforce weekly options trade on Monday, May 17, 2021 at 12:30pm – the low point for the day due to the pullback - for $3.60.
On Thursday, May 20, 2021, our Salesforce weekly options trade climbed as high as $10.40 – a potential profit of 189%.
2. Weekly Options Members” entered a Salesforce weekly options trade on Thursday, May 20, 2021 at a cost of $5.30 at 9:30am.
This Salesforce weekly options call trade hit an intra-day high of $7.35 shortly after entering the trade, at 9:51am - a potential profit of 39%.
For Further Insight READ…..
“Salesforce Upgraded – Shares Move Higher !”
“Weekly Options Trade – Salesforce.com, inc. (NYSE:CRM) Calls”
Why The Original Salesforce Weekly Options Call Trade Recommendation?
Salesforce.com, inc. (NYSE:CRM) stock is down, but is certainly not out. Since the start of the year tech stocks have taken two legs down, in late February and now, in early May. CRM stock has joined the party both times. It’s down 3% on the year, while the average S&P stock is up 11%.
The performance is almost identical to that of Apple, the market’s largest company, only slightly more pronounced.
It’s due to investors rotating out of expensive stocks and into those benefitting from the end of the pandemic or Biden’s Administration’s infrastructure plans. Even with this latest fall, Salesforce stock sells at 49 times earnings.
When the pandemic was on, investors piled into the few names that were making money, and cloud application stocks like Salesforce were among those names. CRM stock peaked at $281.25 per share in late August into early September. Over the last year you’re still up 32%.
1. Earnings on Thursday, May 27, 2021.....
CRM is projected to report earnings of $0.88 per share, which would represent year-over-year growth of 25.71%. Meanwhile, the Consensus Estimate for revenue is projecting net sales of $5.88 billion, up 20.9% from the year-ago period.
For the full year, the Consensus Estimates are projecting earnings of $3.44 per share and revenue of $25.7 billion, which would represent changes of -30.08% and +20.94%, respectively, from the prior year.
2. Polen Capital, an investment management firm.....
Polen Focus Growth Fund, in its Q1 2021 investor letter, mentioned salesforce.com, inc., and shared their insights on the company. salesforce.com, inc. is a San Francisco, California-based software company that currently has a $195.3 billion market capitalization. Since the beginning of the year, CRM delivered a -4.79% return, while its 12-month gains are up by 23.66%. As of May 13, 2021, the stock closed at $211.86 per share.
Here is what Polen Focus Growth Fund has to say about salesforce.com, inc. in its Q1 2021 investor letter:
"We opportunistically increased our weighting in Salesforce.com. After management announced the company would acquire Slack for approximately $28 billion, a high purchase price, shares came under significant pressure.
We believe the Salesforce-Slack strategic vision is on point, and although the purchase price is high in absolute dollars, it represents less than 15% of Salesforce’s market capitalization. We maintain an optimistic view of Salesforce’s business, its competitive positioning within enterprise software, and the rationale behind the Slack acquisition. We expect continued earnings and free cash flow growth many years into the future."
3. Continued Growth.....
Although estimates vary, the consensus is that CRM remains a double-digit growth opportunity. CRM software is used by consumer-facing businesses to handle the logging of customer information, oversee online marketing campaigns, address service issues, and can even predict which customers might purchase new products and services. CRM is a logical choice for retail and service-based companies, but is finding a home in areas you might not expect, such as healthcare and financial companies.
4. Dominant Position......
Salesforce is absolutely dominant when it comes to providing cloud-based CRM solutions. An IDC report showed that it held almost a 20% share of global CRM revenue in the first-half of 2020. Its four closest competitors don't even add up to salesforce's share on a combined basis.
5. Acquisitions.....
Salesforce is in the midst of acquiring enterprise communications platform Slack Technologies in a $27.7 billion cash-and-stock deal. Assuming the deal closes, Slack will provide Salesforce with a jumping-off point to cross-sell its CRM solutions to small-and-medium-sized businesses.
6. Digital 360 for Industries.....
Last month, the company introduced Digital 360 for Industries. The platform helps companies deliver better experiences faster with industry apps and developer tools. It can be deployed for consumer, health care and financial services segments among others.
Analysts’ Opinions.....
One investment analyst has rated the stock with a sell rating, eight have issued a hold rating, twenty-six have issued a buy rating and three have issued a strong buy rating to the company’s stock. Salesforce has a consensus rating of “Buy” and a consensus target price of $268.49.
Summary.....
According to CEO Marc Benioff, Salesforce is on track to grow its full-year sales from $21.25 billion in its latest fiscal year, to north of $50 billion in five years; which is growth investors should gladly sign up for.
Estimates call for Salesforce’s fiscal 2022 revenue to climb another 21% to $25.7 billion, with FY23 projected to jump 19% higher to come in at $30.5 billion. Meanwhile, its adjusted FY22 earnings are projected to fall 30% to $3.44 a share, with FY23 then set to bounce 18% above our current-year estimate.
The company boasts a solid history of quarterly earnings beats, including a 73% average in the trailing four periods.
Therefore…..
Should Members Exit These Salesforce Weekly Options Call Trades?
Or, Will Salesforce Stock Price Continue Its Upward Momentum?
What Other Trades Are We Anticipating?
Do You Wish To Be Part Of This Action?
For answers, join us here at Weekly Options USA, and get the full details on the next trade.
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